Gainesville, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

235
FXUS62 KJAX 261416
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1016 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents Today

- Areas of Dense Fog Possible Friday Morning

- Strong Onshore Winds and Increasing Marine & Coastal Hazards Return

- Extreme to Exceptional Drought Conditions Continue Area-Wide

&&

.UPDATE...

Dense morning fog is gradually lifting with the most recent
observations indicating a rapid improvement in visibility.
Temperatures will trend up today as the surface high pressure
settles over the area. Warming temperatures will create an
inland thermal trough which will drive the Atlantic sea breeze
inland this afternoon. Though there will be some instability
given the low level moisture, the warming cap and dry air in
the mid levels should prevent any thunderstorm development. That
said, spotty showers may develop along the sea breeze especially
across NE FL this afternoon as temperatures push into the low
and mid 80s inland. Coastal sea breeze will keep the beaches
cooler this afternoon with highs in the mid 70s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Main Highlights through Tonight:

- High risk of rip currents at local beaches
- Areas of fog this morning and tonight

Satellite imagery and JAX 00z sounding show plenty of low level
moisture over the area with widespread low clouds. There is a
lingering sfc trough offshore and persistent moisture and
convergence to produce scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm
early this morning for the northeast FL coastal waters. As winds
further decrease over the land zones, the stratus layer will build
down to produce areas of fog, possibly dense at times by sunrise.

As surface high pressure builds in from the north today, the sfc
trough is expected to weaken with lessening chances of showers for
the area waters. However, there is a low chance for a few showers
over the srn most zones during the daytime heating. Thunder chances
are probably too remote to include during the day. Rising heights
and increased sun and lower winds will support highs to reach the
lower to mid 80s inland and then mid 70s at the coast with a gentle
onshore breeze up to 10-15 mph.

For tonight, clearing skies and light winds with the available low
level moisture will favor stratus and fog development for the night.
There is potential for dense fog and possibly an advisory for parts
of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Patchy to areas of morning fog, potential to be locally dense
- Near Record High Temps Friday
- Local Northeasterly Wind Event Saturday: Windy Conditions,
Beach/Marine Hazards Return

Low level high pressure/ridging breaks down and shifts into the
Atlantic on Friday as our next cold front approaches from the North.
A rather weak southwesterly flow sets up Friday with high pressure
to our east. Though a weak flow, plenty of sunshine and some
subsidence aloft will allow temps to rise well into the 80s area
wide, except for low to mid 80s near the immediate coast as a sea
breeze tries to set up, not making it much further inland than about
the I-95 corridor. The front will start to push through late Friday
Night, though most effects will hold off until Saturday except for
an increase in winds from north to south towards morning. Lows will
be mild, mainly in the 60s.

Breezy/windy northeasterly conditions ramp up throughout Saturday as
surface ridging wedges down the southeastern seaboard and the cold
front settles over central FL. Cooler, cloudier and drier conditions
will fill into most of the region Saturday as sustained northeast to
easterly winds in the 15-25 mph range, gusting to 30-40+ mph are
felt across the region. Similar to the previous event, the
breeziest/gustiest conditions are expected to be found inside I-95
and south/east portions of northeast FL, where a wind advisory may
be necessary along with potential beach and marine hazards. The
front looks to make slightly further progress southward than the
most recent event, and therefore chances for showers and t`storms
look to be confined towards Flagler/St. Johns Counties. Cool temps
in the 70-75 range will be expected north and east as a result of
the flow, closer to the 75-80 range approaching the I-75 corridor in
northeast FL.

Flow weakens a bit Saturday Night, but still remaining breezy with a
few coastal showers possible, especially across northeast FL. 50s to
low 60s will be common, with some readings in the upper 40s possible
over far inland southeast GA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Gusty conditions Continue on Sunday, Especially at the coast
- Dangerous Beach/Marine Conditions Continue Early Next Week
- Elevated Tides Likely for Atlantic Coast

Though subsiding slightly, breezy/windy onshore winds continue
through Sunday across the region, which therefore will persist beach
and marine hazards at a similar magnitude as well for at least
Sunday. Thereafter, the event looks to more gradually wind down
throughout the Monday - Wednesday time frame as flow becomes
increasing southeasterly thanks to surface high pressure slowly
sliding further north and east of the region. A gradual warming
trend will accompany the pattern change as well, as temps look to
return to above normal levels towards the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Widespread LIFR conditions due to shallow fog and VLIFR low stratus
will gradually improve through 14z as fog mixes to IFR and
eventually a VFR cloud deck around 16z. The exception will be a KSGJ
where conditions will likely remain IFR until 13z and then improve
quickly to VFR by 14z with potentially some vicinity showers there.
Light winds are expected from the northeast, at or below 5 knots,
until the Atlantic sea breeze around 10 knots pushes inland during
the early afternoon. VFR conditions continue at most airfields
through midnight with shallow fog, possibly dense, forming again
during the early morning hours Friday. Obscuration may occur earlier
at KSSI where sea fog may push across the terminal as early 00z this
evening leading to IFR to LIFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...


A trough of low pressure over the offshore waters will dissipate
today but will bring a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm
into the early afternoon. Otherwise, high pressure will then begin
to build into the area today resulting in winds lowering but seas
will remain elevated and rough at times. Another cold front will
enter the southeast states on Friday night, crossing our local
waters by early Saturday morning. Strong high pressure will again
build to the north of our area in the wake of this front, resulting
in another surge of onshore winds throughout our local waters and
possible Gale conditions during the weekend. High pressure ridge
drop south over the area waters between Monday and Tuesday.

Rip Currents: Today for northeast FL beaches, surf to about 3-4 ft
at times and prior high risk suggests a high risk again, and lower
wave heights over southeast GA beaches a moderate risk. On Friday,
with lower surf heights and offshore flow, a low to moderate risk is
anticipated. Rip current risk increases again to high on Saturday
continuing to Sunday due to strong onshore flow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
- Areas Of High Daytime Dispersions Over Inland Se Ga Friday
- Areas Of High Daytime Dispersions This Weekend
- Near Critical Min Rh Over Interior Ga Saturday

Weakening high pressure will settle over the region today and
through most of Friday, weakening low level winds. No significant
concerns are expected today before dispersions increase on Friday
ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, especially across inland
GA. Windy conditions and good to high dispersions then take over for
the weekend as this front moves through and a local northeasterly
wind event sets up. This will also include chances for showers and
perhaps an isolated thunderstorm, especially closer to the Atlantic
coasts. MinRH values will be near critical over interior GA on
Saturday where the better mixing occurs, and therefore fire danger
will be near elevated for inland GA during this time frame.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Areas of fog are likely inland this
morning, impacting most of the region Friday Morning.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High Temperatures for Friday 3/27:

KJAX: 90/2023
KCRG: 90/2023
KGNV: 91/1949
KAMG: 88/2021

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  83  60  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  74  62  79  62 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  81  60  89  61 /  10   0   0   0
SGJ  77  62  83  62 /  20   0   0   0
GNV  85  60  89  60 /  10   0  10   0
OCF  85  62  88  60 /  20   0  10   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-
     233-333.
GA...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for GAZ154-166.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ450-452.

&&

$$